One of the most perplexing aspects of the White House strategy over the last two years is the total focus on Trump’s base with little apparent concerns for independents and moderate Republicans who have reacting poorly to the confrontational politics. A recent poll shows just how precarious this is becoming for 2020. A new ABC News/Washington Post poll this week shows that 56 percent of Americans said they would definitely not vote to re-elect Trump in 2020. Only 28 percent said they definitely will vote for him. Thia mirrors a previous NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist poll which found that 57 percent of voters will not back Trump in 2020. Citing the President’s polling numbers, the Texas Republican Party is reportedly now concerned that they could lose the state in 2020.
The Washington Post poll shows a hardening opposition to Trump with 56 percent of voters saying that they will not consider voting for Trump.
Polling has uniformly shown Trump around 37 percent in terms of favorability.
This does not mean that the Democrats cannot still supply the answer as they did in 2016. Trump was the most unpopular Republican nominee in history, but the Democrats picked the most unpopular Democratic nominee in history. The result was an upset.
Nevertheless, the approach of the last two years and continued controversies is clearly taking its toll on both Trump and the Republicans in looking toward 2020.