I am always surprised by commentators who not only predict a historic event but put a specific date on its occurrence. Rudy Giuliani of course predicted that the Mueller investigation would be over by September 1, 2018 (though he insists that Robert Mueller gave him that date). Now, Scott Dworkin, a Democratic strategist and MSNBC contributor, has gone one better and predicted that Trump will resign in two weeks due to the plea bargain struck by former Trump campaign chair Paul Manafort and Mueller. Most people would hedge at least to say “by the end of the year” or “before his term is up.” A fortnight prediction now puts Dworkin on the verge of being declared a political Nostradamus or nincompoop.
In anticipation of the cooperative deal, Dworkin went to Twitter to announce the new:
Of course, we still do not know if Manafort has anything of real value against Trump. He was not known as a close confidant and only served as chair for a couple of months.
Moreover, if Manafort had the goods on Trump, why would he resign? Being president would likely deter Mueller from indicting Trump during his term. Resigning would allow for an immediate charge. The only risk avoided would be impeachment, but it is incarceration that presents the greatest personal risk. Finally, Trump could well lose an impeachment but win a Senate trial if the GOP keeps a majority or even a near majority.
In other words, Pence might want to hold back from actually packing up boxes and picking out curtain colors.