While Democratic politicians and groups continue to use Hillary Clinton as a matinee draw for fundraisers and campaign events, a new Gallup poll shows Clinton remains at record lows in the polls. Indeed, she remains more unpopular than Donald Trump at 36%. Trump has a 41% popularity. It is a striking disconnect. Many of us were critical when the Democratic establishment (and virtually every Democratic member of Congress) all but guaranteed the nomination of Clinton despite every poll showing her to be unpopular and the voters seeking an anti-establishment choice. Now, even after two years of book tours and speeches, Clinton is still distinctly unpopular but Democratic groups continue to make her the face of the Democratic campaign for the midterms. It shows the hold of the Clintons on some in the Democratic ranks even though she is likely to continue to alienate many who are looking for an alternative this election.
Gallup notes that, according to past polling and trends, Clinton should become more not less popular at this point.
We have previously tracked the polling showing that Clinton would still lose to Trump in prior polls.
I admit that I have never understood the hold of the Clintons who have long been divisive and damaging figures for the party from their various scandals in Arkansas and Washington to the impeachment to the 2016 election. Nevertheless, they were incredibly nimble in placing loyalists into positions of power and, in one of the most controversial moves, effectively taking over the finances of the Democratic party before the last nomination. Even with years of worsening polls showing that Hillary Clinton remains politically radioactive for many voters and unpopular with most. Nevertheless, with both houses at stake, the Democrats are again bringing out Clinton in videos and campaign speeches.
Trump and his people must be delighted by the return of Clinton given these and past polling numbers. At the same time, Trump does not appear in the free fall that many suggest. Indeed, he is far more popular than figures like French President Emmanuel Macron, who is often celebrated as a critic.
None of this means that the Democrats are unlikely to take the House and possibly the Senate. However, they again seem willing to risk the margin with the Clintons and ignoring the clear sentiment of the voters.
Many voters are clearly willing to vote against the Republicans in opposition to Trump, but the Democrats again seem to want to replay the same message with Clinton and the Democratic establishment. The voters are not leaving the GOP because they like the Democratic establishment. To the contrary they remain as anti-establishment as they were in 2016. Those voters could well stay home if the chose is again between Trump and the Clintons.