Submitted by Charlton Stanley (aka Otteray Scribe), Guest Blogger
Approximately 1,000 weather reporting stations all over the world have been monitoring local temperatures for decades. Temperature data have been compiled and analyzed by NASA scientists at NASA’s Goddard Institute for Space Studies (GISS) in New York.
Nine of the 10 warmest years on record have occurred since the year 2000. The tenth? From the 20th Century, that was 1998. Temperature rise is not completely steady and consistent from one year to the next. That is due to factors such as volcanic eruptions and other natural causes; however, trends are the important thing.
We can see from the short video below the flip that Earth continues to experience warmer temperatures than several decades ago. The average temperature around the globe in 2011 was 0.92 degrees F (0.51 C) warmer than the mid-20th century baseline. Weather experts warn that a consistent global average change of even a half-degree Fahrenheit can have catastrophic effects on global weather patterns. Anyone recall April and May 2011?
130 years in 27 seconds:
“NOAA said 2012 was in the top 10 hottest years on record for global average temperature, but in the U.S. it was the hottest on record
How long does the record go back ?
Do you believe it’s hotter now in the U.S. than in the early 30’s
Do you believe that the record is accurate now or before it was adjusted?
When you look at the record now it was way cooler in the 30’s but the record didn’t always look the way it does today. So ask yourself is the U.S. experiencing conditions like we saw in the 30’s. Search google books and news paper clippings for the answer.
As for the AGU…….. which by the way my answer was yes
So where did that famous “consensus” claim that “98% of all scientists believe in global warming” come from? It originated from an endlessly reported 2009 American Geophysical Union (AGU) survey consisting of an intentionally brief two-minute, two question online survey sent to 10,257 earth scientists by two researchers at the University of Illinois. Of the about 3.000 who responded, 82% answered “yes” to the second question, which like the first, most people I know would also have agreed with.
Then of those, only a small subset, just 77 who had been successful in getting more than half of their papers recently accepted by peer-reviewed climate science journals, were considered in their survey statistic. That “98% all scientists” referred to a laughably puny number of 75 of those 77 who answered “yes”.
http://www.forbes.com/sites/larrybell/2012/07/17/that-scientific-global-warming-consensus-not/
Hey Troll: which one of the Koch Bros. are you?
“NOAA said 2012 was in the top 10 hottest years on record for global average temperature, but in the U.S. it was the hottest on record… the American Geophysical Union, which represents some 60,000 scientists who study the Earth… “Humanity is the major influence on the global climate change observed over the past 50 years.” It added, “Human-induced climate change requires urgent action.”
I just saw this on NPR. Their reporting is a mixed bag in my opinion. But you can read the rest of the report here:
http://www.npr.org/2013/08/06/209462713/earth-scientists-pin-climate-change-squarely-on-humanity
My guess is that NPR is at least quoting the sources correctly. So the question is do you believe institutions like NOAA and AGU or not.
I can’t judge the science so I have to search for reliable authorities. The federal government employees I have known personally have been more than competent, and totally dedicated to their positions and doing the job the right way.
lotta,
That’s you, me, and Mike A (sigh) The problem with super smart guys like OS is that the rest of us, choking on dust, have no recourse but mockery. 😉
Juliet, I don’t always follow every posting in order on a thread, I drop in and out and read a block of postings. I will go back and read the entire thread if something catches my eye on a thread I’m dropping in/out of. I just read some more comments and yeah, that was vulgar. It was I’m sure a way around the filter that would have prevented a more direct statement with a banned four letter word. There’s always the DNFTT maxim: Do Not Feed The Trolls.
*
Blouise, And he didn’t even try to sneak that maths in under the radar- he just flaunted it, just made it central! I did not understand it but the flair with which it was brandished it did impress me. 🙂
God knows my eyes glaze over, at times. It’s just annoying to have to sift through a mountain of chaff to find a tiny kernel of grain. Meh.
A recently released report is contrary to the denial dementia of Joe “Troll” Blow:
(2012 Climate Change Report From NOAA Reveals Rising Seas, Snow Melt And More Warming).
” Yes Global Warming is real, CO2 is just not the main driver.”
“The Globe is now cooling.”
As I understand your position we have global warming, not related to burning fossil fuels and we have global cooling, at least for the past 15 years…at the same time…right now.
raff,
Beware OS’s post on August 6, 2013 at 1:32 am … I think it is well disguised MATH
They started it with troll and how does it feel to work for Koch. They say it is pronounced COKE but I think they thing it’s pronounce COCK
Joe Blow: “Maybe you and the queer can get together and the two of you can demonstrate Personality Change. Crank the AC up after the…”
****
Where is our ad hominem disectin’ moderator when you need him? That’s way out of line. I’m not necessarily one for censorship by consistency is a virtue.
Katz: You must have missed the first one, wherein he told me I should go masturbate. I called him no names and, in fact, never addressed him.
Global Warming has paused for the last 15 years. The Globe has been warming since the Little Ice Age so yes I believe in Global Warming. The Globe is now cooling. However the models did not show cooling they showed more warming remember the Hockey Stick
To see what a great cyclone looks like in Real-Time that is as in today August 6 2013 in the Northern Hemi Cap we have three on this side of the Hemi. In this image 981 MB Low Near Alaska a 985 MB Low over Canada and a developing 988 MB Low Ghost of DORIAN near the Tip of Greenland. This is nearly the exact same setup from two weeks ago that was the factor in over 1000 record cold temperatures being broken in the U.S. last week
GOES Project Science NASA
http://goes.gsfc.nasa.gov/goescolor/goeswest/overview2/color_lrg/latestfull.jpg
As they say what GOES around comes around
davidm:
“global climate may be more complicated than just measuring CO2.”
you think maybe? It is very complicated and there are a number of factors involved. There is a PBS show in which they used satellites to takes pictures of various phenomena using different spectrums of energy. It was a fascinating show.
I came away thinking the earth is way to complex to be impacted by a single variable to any significant degree. People think of trees sequestering Carbon but there is so much biomass in the ocean doing the same thing.
After seeing that show, I have a hard time believing that man-made CO2 [which is rather a misnomer since all Carbon already exists and we are just releasing it back into the atmosphere] has much significance in global climate change.
You keep posting about 2012 everyone knows it was near record low. What most people don’t know was the reason. Do you ? Not because of heat.
Great Arctic Cyclone of 2012
http://thewatchers.adorraeli.com/2012/08/10/great-arctic-cyclone-of-2012-rare-and-unusually-strong-storm-formed-over-arctic/
It spread the ice out to warmer water. Because it spread then refrose is the reason why 2013 is near the highest extent in 9 years.
here is a link to a good deal of data about artic sea ice. Lots of good stuff if you can take the time to wade through it.
Just taking a quick glance, it appears to be saying that the artic sea ice volume naturally fluctuates and that this year is within statistical norms.
http://wattsupwiththat.com/reference-pages/sea-ice-page/
Arctic sea-ice levels at record low for June
Scientists say that the latest observations suggest that Arctic sea ice cover is continuing to shrink and thin
John Vidal, environment editor
The Guardian
Wednesday 27 June 2012
http://www.theguardian.com/environment/2012/jun/27/arctic-sea-ice-melt-rate
Sea ice in the Arctic has melted faster this year than ever recorded before, according to the US government’s National Snow and Ice Data Centre (NSIDC).
Satellite observations show the extent of the floating ice that melts and refreezes every year was 318,000 square miles less last week than the same day period in 2007, the year of record low extent, and the lowest observed at this time of year since records began in 1979. Separate observations by University of Washington researchers suggest that the volume of Arctic sea ice is also the smallest ever calculated for this time of year.
Scientists cautioned that it is still early in the “melt season”, but said that the latest observations suggest that the Arctic sea ice cover is continuing to shrink and thin and the pattern of record annual melts seen since 2000 is now well established. Last year saw the second greatest sea ice melt on record, 36% below the average minimum from 1979-2000.
“Recent ice loss rates have been 100,000 to 150,000 square kilometres (38,600 to 57,900 square miles) per day, which is more than double the climatological rate. While the extent is at a record low for the date, it is still early in the melt season. Changing weather patterns throughout the summer will affect the exact trajectory of the sea ice extent through the rest of the melt season,” said a spokesman for the NSIDC.
The increased melting is believed to be a result of climate change. Arctic temperatures have risen more than twice as fast as the global average over the past half century.
Chad Meyers CNN January 2013 There’s no ice at the North Pole
Arctic Ice Extent is at almost the highest in Ten Years. The Arctic has gone through 100 consecutive days of temperature below normal.
http://ocean.dmi.dk/arctic/icecover.uk.php
“Arctic Ice Extent is at almost the highest in Ten Years. The Arctic has gone through 100 consecutive days of temperature below normal.”
Statements like this suggest that for global warming to be true we would have to observe monotonically increasing temperatures – that is only increases in temperature with no decreases.
That idea is just false. Increasing long term average seasonal temperature includes the possibility that temperatures may stabilize or even decline for a while. It is the long term average that is significant.
Besides, the quote is from someone who has already acknowledged that global warming is occurring. If global warming is occurring, which is clear from the data, then we know we will eventually get ice melt regardless of the exact year it occurs of if we have few years of cool weather.
We keep talking about trolls because you desperately crave the attention, troll.
NOAA Ocean Today video: ‘Arctic Sea Ice Sets Record Low’ (2012 report)