New Study Finds American Workers Have Less Than A $1000 in Retirement Savings

There is a new, troubling study on the financial status of most American workers. The National Institute on Retirement Security (NIRS) found that the median American worker has just $955 saved for retirement through defined-contribution plans such as 401(k) accounts. Given the expected job losses from robotics and AI, the study only deepens concerns about the economic and political pressures facing this country in the years to come.

In my new book, Rage and the Republic: The Unfinished Story of the American Revolution,” I discuss those impacts from robotics and AI on our democracy. Using the most conservative estimates of job losses, the book explores how a large population of unemployed citizens will affect their relationship with the state.

We cannot maintain a “kept citizenship” while preserving the essential elements of the American republic. A large population of static, unemployed citizens poses challenges for what I call a “liberty-enhancing economy,” an economy that affords citizens independence from the state.

This study magnifies those concerns. If accurate, it suggests that even a short displacement in employment will return state support. Many jurisdictions are already launching Universal Basic Income (UBI) pilot programs. If this republic is to survive in the 21st Century, it will require developing new areas of “homocentric” jobs while avoiding predictable measures to subsidize positions that will inevitably be lost to robotics.

Notably, the study found that among those with positive retirement plans, median savings were much higher at $40,000.

Those with a defined contribution (DC) plan are far better off with an average savings of $179,082.

The takeaway from the report, for me, is the need to instill greater private savings. Some workers are barely paid above subsistence. However, we also need to educate citizens about the importance of setting aside retirement funds to the extent possible.

As I previously wrote, I am a great fan of the Trump Accounts. The $6.25 billion gift of Michael and Susan Dell (now augmented by dozens of corporations) could offer the single best hope for the survival of our system. Millions of young people will be able to experience the benefits of investments, savings and, most importantly, economic independence.

The study also shows the growing dangers of the collapse of the social security accounts. Despite assurances made when Congress established the system, Congress has continued to draw on Social Security funds to avoid reducing spending levels. The system could fail for these workers, who will not be able to draw upon money taken from their paychecks for the purpose of retirement. It is one of the most outrageous betrayals in United States history.

To this day, Democrats are opposing efforts to make major changes to guarantee the viability of the system for future generations, including the use of private investment accounts that could no longer be raided by Congress for easy money.

All politicians express alarm at the potential failure, but they attack any efforts to address the underlying problems as an attack on social security. As a result, we just drift toward this cliff knowing that most citizens have practically no other source of retirement support.

 

 

111 thoughts on “New Study Finds American Workers Have Less Than A $1000 in Retirement Savings”

  1. Now you know why vote restrictions were placed in the Constitution and why the Founders, generally by state, restricted the vote to male, European, 21, with 50 lbs. Sterling/50 acres.

    The new American republic was impossible without vote restrictions; it is still impossible; look around you at the “greed of the poor” amongst the maelstrom of decompensation.

    Of interest, the government of China most resembles the government of the American Founders, with exponentially severe limited public voting for a Congress that elects a president and passes laws.

    The overriding compelling difference is the Constitution and Bill of Rights.
    _________________________________________________________________________________

    “Constitutional Allocation of Authority and Limitations on the Right to Vote”

    “Under the original United States Constitution, voter qualifications for federal offices were largely determined by the states (Article I, §§2 and 4; Article II, §1), subject to Congress’s authority under the Elections Clause to regulate the “Times, Places and Manner” of congressional elections….”

    – ChatGPT

  2. The unusually loyal supporters of Donald Trump are often described as a cult. How can we understand this extreme phenomenon in U.S. politics? We develop theoretical expectations and use the Big Five personality dimensions to investigate whether Trump’s most loyal supporters share personality characteristics that might make them inclined to cult-like support. We find that (1) Trump’s supporters share high levels of Conscientiousness; (2) this is substantively and statistically distinguishable from the commonly identified association between Conscientiousness and Conservatism; and (3) the association is highly robust to a range of sensitivity tests. Our main findings are robust across two surveys. Study 1 is an online survey conducted in 2021 designed specifically for this project. Study 2 is the 2016 American National Election Study (ANES).

    INTRODUCTION
    How can we understand the strong loyalty shown to Donald Trump by a large section of the United States electorate? This loyalty has persisted after his 2020 election loss, and the most devoted supporters are often characterized as a “cult.” These loyalists have been an enabling force for Trump’s reshaping of the Republican Party (GOP) and U.S. politics more broadly. Arguably, no other U.S. politician in the post-World War II era has received such strong and consistent devotion, even after being voted out of office. Bender and Goodman (2023) claim “[i]t is Mr. Trump’s base of hard-core followers, who show up to his rallies in force, that has allowed him to maintain his grip on the party despite a pattern of dangerous, discordant behavior that would have sunk most traditional politicians.” This support appears detached from ideology or policy success. At least in part due to this core of personally loyal supporters, Trump has been able to turn the GOP into a party of what some term “explicit” White nationalism (Massey, 2021, p. 5), while the United States has shifted onto the list of potentially backsliding democracies (e.g., International IDEA, 2021).

    While the concept of a personality cult is rarely discussed in the political science literature on U.S. politics, it has been frequently referenced in the news media to characterize Trump’s appeal. For example, in June 2018, the Editorial Board of The New York Times noted “the striking degree to which President Trump has transformed the Republican Party from a political organization into a cult of personality.” Figure 1 shows a considerable increase in the monthly rate of articles in The New York Times with at least one mention of the phrase “personality cult” or “cult of personality” (blue squares) and in the 6-monthly right-aligned moving average (blue line) from June 2015, when Trump formally announced his candidacy, reaching a peak in late 2020 and early 2021. A similar pattern emerges for articles mentioning “Trump” and “cult” in the same paragraph (red dots/line).1

    Details are in the caption following the image
    FIGURE 1
    Open in figure viewer
    PowerPoint
    Monthly articles, January 2010 – October 2022.
    In this article, we use two studies to investigate whether individual personality characteristics can help us understand the extreme loyalty of Trump’s “base” of supporters. Study 1 is an online survey of U.S. adults designed for this project. Study 2 is the 2016 American National Election Study (ANES). We employ the Big Five personality dimensions (Agreeableness, Conscientiousness, Extraversion, Neuroticism, and Openness), which have been consistently associated with political attitudes (Carney et al., 2008; Fortunato et al., 2018; Gerber et al., 2010, 2012, 2013; Mondak, 2010; Mondak & Halperin, 2008). Gerber et al. (2010) show that personality traits rival factors such as income and education as correlates of political behavior.

    A striking finding across these two studies conducted more than 4 years apart (September 2016 – January 2017 and April 2021) is that the most loyal Trump supporters have high scores on Conscientiousness, and particularly its Self-Discipline facet, even controlling for Republican identification, Conservatism, and several other variables.

    CULTS, PERSONALITY, AND POLITICAL LOYALTY
    Cults and cult members
    Although the sociological literature on new religious movements (“cults”) is large (Dawson, 2006; Hammer & Rothstein 2012; Robbins, 1988), relatively few studies focus specifically on the common traits of cult followers (Lewis, 2014). Dawson’s (1996, 2006) influential reviews distill competing psychological and rationalist arguments. Dawson finds psychological arguments better supported but judges the evidence thin and conclusions speculative. These arguments, drawing especially on Lofland and Stark (1965), focus on vulnerable individuals turning to cults for self-reaffirmation. “Joiners” suffer low self-esteem due to disillusioning experiences and look to belief and ideology to bolster a positive self-image (Levine, 1984). The rationalist stream of research focuses on ideas of relative deprivation (e.g., Glock, 1964), with cult members seeking to compensate for social inequities through affirmation and status.

    Lewis (2014) notes that the literature on cult membership suffers from a “significantly inadequate quantitative empirical base” (pp. 2, 7). He also finds a case-selection bias toward the most controversial cults. To help correct this, Lewis uses cross-national census and survey data to provide evidence he claims undermines the “unexamined assumptions” and “conventional wisdom” that cult members have similar demographic characteristics.

    We get some relevant insights from this literature. First, despite much theorizing, there is no consensus around a single theory of the personal characteristics of cult followers. Second, existing studies are mainly based on small samples, potentially subject to selection bias, and overwhelmingly use qualitative evidence. Third, fundamental personality characteristics in general, and the Big Five in particular, are rarely discussed. Studies mentioning personality tend not to use standard or well-elaborated concepts or measures, such that their contributions are hard to characterize (e.g., Elegbeleye, 2005; Walsh et al., 1995).

    In what follows, we draw on the existing literature on cult members where possible, but also turn to cognate research and our own arguments. Specifically, we draw on studies of dogmatism and obedience, as well as Sundahl’s (2023) recent theoretical discussion of the nature of political personality cults.

    The Big Five
    In this section, we develop theoretical expectations for each of the Big Five personality dimensions and extreme political followership. We expect that cult members’ extreme followership is characterized by unwavering loyalty to, and persistent agreement with, a leader. Cult members do not simply share the leader’s policy positions or believe the leader can effectively achieve specific ends. They adopt the leader’s direction and positions unreservedly and unquestioningly. We argue that adopting, practicing, and displaying such loyalty can be psychologically fulfilling in itself. Individuals feeling anxious and vulnerable, and seeking disciplined obedience and unquestioned leadership, are drawn to personality cults. As Walsh et al. (1995) suggest, people seeking others’ acceptance, guidance, and support are more likely to join cults. A personality cult, Pittman (2017, pp. 540–42) writes, may provide a sense of belonging to an imagined extended family led by a supreme patriarch.

    Cult members’ view of their leader, Sundahl (2023) writes, is characterized by resilience of authority, as the leader’s status is not contingent on political success; symbolic elevation of the leader above others in society; and religious parallels in the representations of the leader and associated practices. We discuss how we operationalize these three aspects of cult followership in the Research Design section.

    In this section, we offer conjectures about how each of the Big Five might incline individuals to strong loyalty to a political leader. The Big Five are “big” as each summarizes several more specific personality characteristics. We therefore follow Soto and John (2009) in breaking down each dimension into two facets. While we discuss some facet-level expectations, our theorizing is mainly at the higher level of the Big Five because of limited literature on the facets and political behavior.

    Agreeableness is associated with being affectionate, appreciative, kind, soft-hearted, and warm. Its facets are Altruism and Compliance.2 We expect the most loyal Trump supporters to score low on this dimension. High Agreeableness has been connected to being less persuaded by weak arguments and more persuaded by strong arguments (Xia & Habashi, 2015). Agreeableness appears connected to critical attention rather than the dogmatic acceptance associated with cult followership. Cult members are ready to dogmatically defend the views of the cult and its leader against political opponents.

    Gerber et al. (2011) find an association between Agreeableness and aversion to political conflict. Trump loyalists are often presented as open to conflict and confrontation. Other studies find Agreeableness is negatively associated with political interest and knowledge (Gerber et al., 2011a; Mondak, 2010; Mondak & Halperin, 2008). Low Agreeableness could therefore be connected to the firm political engagement of cult members (although dogmatic followership might be incompatible with political knowledge).

    Conscientiousness is associated with being efficient, organized, reliable, responsible, and thorough. Its facets are Order and Self-Discipline. We expect the most loyal Trump supporters to get high scores on Conscientiousness, as extreme political followership might be based on an appreciation for the self-discipline required by a leader who demands unwavering loyalty. Conscientiousness is associated with obedience to others’ demands (Mashiko, 2008), as well as intolerance for uncertainty (Zmigrod et al., 2018), which might explain the view of a leader as infallible.

    Conscientiousness is further tied to inflexibility, consistent with dogmatic followership, and to a desire for achievement through conformance (McCrae et al., 1993). The strong extreme conformity of converts to cults is found to give a sense of independence, especially from parental control (Levine, 1984; Walsh et al., 1995) and “individual accomplishment” (Straus, 1979). This connection is also found in studies on dogmatism (Duckitt, 2009). Committed obedience requires Self-Discipline, but may also bring desired Order to an individual’s life.

    Fortunato et al. (2018) found a high level of Conscientiousness among Trump voters during the 2016 primaries. They consider this a function of supporters’ perceptions of Trump himself as Conscientious, but add that Trump’s behavior after taking office cannot be perceived as Conscientious. At least one systematic study of expert perceptions of Trump’s personality found he was low in Conscientiousness (Nai & Maier, 2018). Thus, our expectations are not based on this homophily proposition.

    Extraversion is associated with being active, assertive, energetic, outgoing, and outspoken. Its facets are Assertiveness and Activity. There is no obvious connection between Extraversion and cult followership. Obedience to authority, for example, is neither positively nor negatively associated with Extraversion (Mashiko, 2008). We discuss Extraversion in more detail below when considering potential confounding factors.

    Neuroticism is associated with being anxious, moody, nervous, tense, touchy, and worried. Its facets are Anxiety and Depression. We expect high levels of Neuroticism among loyal Trump supporters, since anxiety and a tendency to worry could explain a desire for purpose and stability provided by a strong leader. Emotional vulnerability is connected to recruitment to cults (Curtis & Curtis, 1993). Lofland and Stark (1965) find dissatisfaction with current life situation and conflicting motivations to make individuals predisposed to join cults. They feel vulnerable and seek approval and security in the cult. We therefore expect Trump loyalists to score highly especially on the Anxiety facet.

    Psychologists have found a high prevalence of neurotic personality characteristics in adherents of religious cults, although these studies are few and based on convenience samples (Levine & Salter, 1976; Rousselet et al., 2017). Some find a connection between Neuroticism and obedience (Zeigler-Hill et al., 2013), while others do not (Mashiko, 2008; Rim, 1984).

    Finally, Openness is associated with being curious, imaginative, insightful, intellectual, original, and widely interested. Its facets are Openness to Ideas and Openness to Artistic Expression, or “Aesthetics.” We expect to find low levels of Openness, and especially of Openness to Ideas, among loyal Trump supporters, as extreme followership is contradictory to being reflective, imaginative, and receptive to new ideas and information. It conflicts with dogmatism (Costa & McCrae, 1992a). Mashiko (2008), however, finds no association between Openness and obedience to authority.

    Social dominance orientation and right-wing authoritarianism
    In addition to these personality dimensions, we measure social dominance orientation (SDO) and right-wing authoritarianism (RWA). These are commonly categorized as values3 or social attitudes (Duckitt, 2001; Pratto et al., 2006), since they are more context-dependent and affected by social and political influences than the personality dimensions (Caspi et al., 2005; Costa & McCrae, 1992b; Gosling et al., 2003). RWA is an intragroup phenomenon concerning relationships between individuals of the same group. Duckitt et al. (2010) convincingly identify three elements of RWA: obedience (Conservatism), moral conformity (Traditionalism), and strict social control (Authoritarianism). SDO, on the other hand, is an intergroup phenomenon concerning relationships between ingroups and outgroups. It expresses a desire for one group’s superiority over another.

    We expect loyal Trump supporters to score highly on both SDO and RWA, as others have found (Dean & Altemeyer, 2019; we discuss related literature in Section 7 of the online supporting information). A key concern for our study is that RWA and SDO are related to the Big Five. Openness is negatively associated with RWA, and both Openness and Agreeableness are negatively associated with SDO (Akrami & Ekehammar, 2006). Perceived threat, which can be tied to Neuroticism, is related to authoritarianism (Feldmann & Stenner, 1997). Extraversion has been associated with both RWA (Ekehammar et al., 2004; Huddy & Del Ponte, 2020) and SDO (Caprara & Vecchione, 2013; Hofstetter, 2023).

    We therefore include both RWA (all three elements) and SDO as controls in our analysis to distinguish the association of these social attitudes from more fundamental personality characteristics.

    Ideology and populism
    We also control for the Big Five’s association with political ideology and populism. The most robust findings are that Conscientiousness is associated with Conservatism (Carney et al., 2008; Gerber et al., 2010; Gosling et al., 2003; Mondak & Halperin, 2008; Sibley et al., 2012) and Openness with Liberal ideology (Carney et al., 2008; Gerber et al., 2010; Gosling et al., 2003; Jost et al., 2003; McCrae, 1996; Mondak & Halperin, 2008; Sibley et al., 2012; Van Hiel et al., 2000; Van Hiel & Mervielde, 2004; Xu et al., 2021). Trump supporters are characterized by Conservatism and a corresponding aversion to Liberalism (see Section 7 of the online supporting information for further related literature).

    Trump is often portrayed as a populist politician. However, not all populist leaders receive such personal loyalty from their voters (Fierman, 2021). There is evidence for some association between the Big Five and populism. Agreeableness is negatively associated with support for populist parties (Ackermann et al., 2018; Bakker et al., 2016, 2021), while Conscientiousness may be positively related to such support (Ackermann et al., 2018; Aichholzer et al., 2018). Extraversion may also be related to support for populists (Ackermann et al., 2018) or simply strong partisanship (Gerber et al., 2010).

    It will therefore be important for us to show that any association between loyalty to Trump and the Big Five is not confounded by either Conservative or Liberal ideology, including ideological self-identification or identification with a political party, or with factors common among supporters of populist leaders in general.

    RESEARCH DESIGN
    Data5
    We designed a survey specifically for this study and fielded it online using Lucid Marketplace among 1038 U.S. residents in April 2021 (Study 1). We used quotas for age, sex, race, region, and education based on the U.S. census (full details in the online supporting information). We subsequently became aware of a short-form measure of the Big Five in the 2016 ANES (Study 2), enabling us to make reasonable, although not exact, comparisons for many of our analyses.

    The timing of Study 1 allows us to assess the loyalty of Trump supporters following his election loss in November 2020 and the end of his presidency in January 2021. The survey has three sections, containing items for measuring, first, the Big Five, second, SDO and RWA, and third, Trump’s presidency and the 2020 election and its aftermath. We thus follow Gerber et al.’s (2011b, p. 283) recommendation to place the personality section before the politics section to reduce the potential for biased estimates of personality and outcomes.

    Positions along the personality dimensions are indicated by respondents’ attitudes toward a list of statements, presented in randomized order, using a 5-point Likert scale ranging from “strongly disagree” to “strongly agree.” In the political science literature, short 10-item personality batteries, and especially Gosling et al.’s (2003) Ten-Item Personality Inventory (TIPI), are standardly used. However, these have disadvantages in terms of reliability and validity (John et al., 2008, pp. 137–38) and may underestimate the relation between personality and political ideology (Bakker & Lelkes, 2018). Longer inventories also allow for assessment of the facets of each personality dimension.4

    We therefore use John et al.’s (1991) 44-item Big Five Inventory (BFI), with nine items for Agreeableness, nine for Conscientiousness, eight for Extraversion, eight for Neuroticism, and 10 for Openness. The BFI has higher internal consistency, convergence, and discriminant validity than other long-form Big Five measurements (John et al., 2008, pp. 131–38). We follow Soto and John’s (2009, p. 89) advice and adjust the BFI using an “acquiescence scale” to correct for potential bias introduced by pro- and con-trait items. We also follow their procedure for coding the two facets of each Big Five dimension.

    Study 2 uses the TIPI but reveals a similar connection between the Big Five and loyal followers of Trump to that found in Study 1. Study 2 places the TIPI battery after most of the politics-related questions in the survey, but this would not make it more likely to yield results consistent with Study 1. The TIPI is also asked in the postelection survey, so questions from the preelection portion of the ANES are unlikely to affect it.

    In Study 1, to measure RWA, we employ Duckitt et al.’s (2010) battery, which includes six items for each RWA dimension. For SDO, we use Pratto et al.’s (1994) 16-item battery on attitudes toward (in)equality between groups and social dominance. These employ the same 5-point Likert scales.

    In Study 2, we construct measures for the three elements of RWA and for SDO based on the available questions, attempting to reflect the measures used in Study 1 as closely as possible. We give these variables slightly different names from those in Study 1 to indicate they are not based on identical survey items (see Table S1 in the online supporting information for details). We use eight items to construct an Authoritarian index, five items for a Tradition index, and self-placement on a 7-point Liberal–Conservative scale to measure Conservative ideology. We use three items to construct a Dominance index.

    The political part of the Study 1 survey consists of 18 items about Trump during and after his presidency, the legitimacy of the 2020 presidential election and Trump’s claim that it was stolen, as well as the storming of the Capitol and Trump’s role in this event. The items are largely adopted from surveys conducted by Axios–Ipsos (2021) and Washington Post–ABC (2021).

    To measure loyalty to Trump, we seek indicators of broad and dogmatic loyalty, as discussed above. These identify individuals who tend to strongly support Trump based on who he is, rather than those who have high, but not perfect, levels of agreement based on Trump’s policies or specific achievements.

    In Study 1, we selected seven items to measure extreme loyalty to Trump, our main dependent variable, which we label “Trump Followers.” Strong Trump followers (1) voted for Trump in 2020, (2) “strongly approve” of Trump’s performance as president, (3) “strongly approve” of his handling of the coronavirus, (4) believe Trump will go down in history as an “above average” or “outstanding” president,6 (5) believe Trump acted “responsibly” after the 2020 election, (6) believe Republican leaders “should follow Trump’s leadership,” and (7) “strongly agree” with the view that mainstream media has treated Trump unfairly.

    We consider these responses consistent with Sundahl’s (2023) three parameters of political personality cults. Elevation is apparent in strong approval of Trump’s performance while in office, and in historical legacy better than most or outstanding; resilience is seen in continued faith in Trump’s leadership after his election loss; and religious parallels appear in the view of Trump’s infallibility and persecution suggested by belief in his responsible behavior after the 2020 election and unfair treatment by the news media.

    To measure loyalty to Trump in Study 2, which obviously occurred in a different context, we use five items. We code respondents as Trump Followers if they (1) voted for or intended to vote for Trump in 2016, (2) had a Strong Preference for Trump tied to their vote or intended vote, (3) found Nothing to Dislike about Trump, (4) rated Trump at 90 or above on a 0–100 feeling thermometer, and (5) responded that Trump makes them feel Hopeful “most of the time” or “always.” Coding this variable based on evidence collected in the preelection wave of the survey where possible (items 3–5) helps it conform to Sundahl’s resilience element: These are not influenced by knowledge of Trump’s success in the election.

    While we consider these “all-in” indicators of extreme followership theoretically appropriate for identifying cult-like followers of Trump, we also examine the robustness of our results using different indicators which allow more equivocal views of Trump.

    In addition, to identify the broader pool of individuals at least moderately positively disposed toward Trump, we created a Trump Index based on the seven (Study 1) or five (Study 2) variables. This is a continuous 0–1 index of support for Trump in each study, which gives equal weight to pro-Trump responses to each item. For our main analysis, we focus on the subset of respondents who score above the mean on each index (.39 in Study 1 and .32 in Study 2; see the online supporting information for details and further descriptive statistics). This reflects the assumption that only respondents positively disposed toward Trump are likely to become very loyal followers. However, our results are very similar if we use the full sample for each study (see the online supporting information).

    All items used in the analysis for Study 1 and Study 2 are standardized on a 0–1 scale for ease of comparison. Summary statistics, including for several control variables, are presented in Table 1. These include the population-weighted means for Study 2, which we use in the analyses. Weighting the Study 1 data based on age and gender categories from the U.S. Census leads to some changes in average values, including bringing the percentage of older respondents closer to that of Study 2. However, we present unweighted results for Study 1 because it was not designed to be a probability sample (Till & Matei, 2017).7 Results change little with the weighted sample. We focus on results robust across both the unweighted Study 1 and the weighted Study 2 samples.

    TABLE 1. Survey data, Studies 1 and 2.
    Study 1 (2021) Study 2 (2016)
    Unweighted Mean Weighted Mean Unweighted Mean (above average on Trump index) Unweighted Mean Weighted Mean Weighted Mean (above average on Trump index)
    Trump Follower 0.10 0.11 0.21 0.06 0.06 0.14
    Trump Index 0.39 0.40 0.71 0.32 0.32 0.71
    Agreeableness 0.66 0.65 0.64 0.71 0.70 0.69
    Conscientiousness 0.66 0.66 0.65 0.79 0.78 0.80
    Extraversion 0.51 0.51 0.52 0.54 0.54 0.54
    Neuroticism (1)/Stability (2) 0.44 0.44 0.45 0.67 0.66 0.67
    Openness 0.48 0.48 0.46 0.68 0.68 0.64
    Conservatism (1)/Conservative (2) 0.55 0.55 0.57 0.52 0.52 0.71
    Traditionalism (1)/Tradition (2) 0.52 0.52 0.57 0.26 0.25 0.41
    Authoritarianism (1)/Authoritarian (2) 0.56 0.56 0.58 0.36 0.36 0.47
    Social Dominance Orientation (1)/Dominance (2) 0.40 0.40 0.47 0.29 0.29 0.44
    White 0.79 0.78 0.84 0.77 0.75 0.87
    Female 0.56 0.52 0.55 0.53 0.52 0.52
    GOP 0.25 0.27 0.47 0.32 0.32 0.63
    Age 45 or older 0.47 0.54 0.48 0.60 0.58 0.67
    High School or less 0.34 0.35 0.36 0.19 0.30 0.34
    Religious (1)/Church (2) 0.59 0.58 0.69 0.38 0.37 0.49
    Left–Right Ideology 0.58 0.58 0.69 0.56 0.57 0.73
    Note: Sample sizes for Trump Follower, Big Five, GOP and Conservative/Conservatism: Study 1: 1038 (Unweighted), 1033 (Weighted), 475 (Unweighted, Above Average on Trump Index); Study 2: 2823 (Unweighted), 3445 (Weighted), 1378 (Weighted, Above Average on Trump Index). Study 1 samples are slightly lower for some other variables due to missing responses (1015 or higher). Study 2 samples vary based on ANES response rates and pre- and/or postelection variable inclusion.
    For Study 1, just under 10% (9.8%) of our respondents in the full sample were strong Trump Followers, comprising 33% of Republicans, 5% of Independents, and 0.6% of Democrats. For Study 2, they are just under 6% (5.8%), consisting of 13% of Republicans, 3% of Independents, and 0.8% of Democrats. There are many reasons to expect some differences in the proportion of respondents exhibiting extreme loyalty to Trump, including the 4-year period between the studies and differences in sampling. However, our Trump Index yields proportions more similar (12% and 11%, respectively for Studies 1 and 2) to strong Trump supporters at or above a threshold of 0.9 on the index.

    There are other notable differences across the datasets (Table 1). Our online-only sample for Study 1 skews younger and less Republican. Among the Big Five, the Study 1 sample is less Conscientious and less Open. It also has higher scores on Authoritarianism, Traditionalism, and Social Dominance.

    Methods
    To assess how personality and social attitudes are associated with Trump Followers, we use logistic regression models for our main dependent variable, which is coded “1” when all seven (Study 1) or five (Study 2) responses indicate loyalty to Trump, and “0” otherwise. For the main independent variables, the Big Five, we use the standard indices described above. The full results are provided in Tables S3a–S6 in the online supporting information. We present marginal-effect graphs in the main analysis, showing change in probabilities for each variable moving from the 5th to 95th percentile value, when all other covariates are held at their means.8 Our references to statistical significance also relate to these marginal effects, unless otherwise noted.

    While personality is the most fundamental characteristic we measure, we include controls for Conservatism, GOP identification, RWA and SDO, as well as other potential confounders. Gerber et al. (2012), similarly, use a series of attitudinal and demographic controls to assess potential relationships between political attitudes, political partisanship, and the Big Five. The measurement of each variable is described in Table S1 in the online supporting information. Table S2 provides descriptive statistics for the unweighted full samples.

    Among our controls are five demographic characteristics. Support for Trump is often shown to be higher among voters who are White, male, older, religious, and less educated (e.g., Morgan & Lee, 2018; Tyson & Maniam, 2016). Race and gender are potentially as fundamental to shaping world view as personality. Personality may also change with the experience and self-awareness that comes with age or education. Religiosity9 may be a fundamental factor shaping world view if produced by childhood socialization. Further, since White Republican men are typically seen as among the largest and most consistent group of Trump supporters (Igielnik et al., 2021), we include an interaction of these categories (Table S6 in the online supporting information). Important studies explaining Trump’s 2016 election victory have pointed to the key role of voters adhering to White identity (Grimmer et al., 2023; Sides et al., 2018). We therefore check the robustness of our findings to a control for this available in Study 2 (Table S9). We discuss controls for characteristics of populist voters below (see also Tables S10 and S11).

    RESULTS
    Trump Followers and the Big Five
    Our initial models show the association between strong loyalty to Trump and the Big Five and the effect of controlling for GOP identification and Conservatism (Figure 2 and Tables S3a–S4b in the online supporting information10). The models in Figure 2 are restricted to the subset of respondents who score above the mean on the Trump Index (n = 475 in Study 1 and n = 1378 in Study 2). This analysis can thus establish whether, among all Trump supporters, there is a subset distinct in terms of degree of support and personality characteristics. Figure S3 (see the online supporting information) presents very similar results for the full samples.

    Details are in the caption following the image
    FIGURE 2
    Open in figure viewer
    PowerPoint
    Studies 1 and 2: Personality, party, and conservatism. Marginal Effect plots for logistic regression models. The sample is all respondents scoring above the mean value on the Trump Index (Study 1: mean = 0.39, n = 475; Study 2: mean = 0.32, n = 1378 (with GOP and Conservative controls)). Marginal effects are calculated for movement from the 5th to 95th percentile values for each variable (within this sample), while holding all other variables at their means.
    Without controls, Studies 1 and 2 show a positive association between Conscientiousness and Trump Followers and a negative association between Openness and Trump Followers (left panels, Figure 2). There is also a significant positive association with Extraversion in Study 2 (bottom-left panel). But when the controls for GOP identification and Conservatism are introduced (right panels), the relationship between Openness and Trump Followers shrinks in magnitude and becomes statistically insignificant in both datasets. GOP identification in both studies, unsurprisingly, is strongly associated with followership of Trump, as is Conservative ideology in Study 2. But Conscientiousness remains positively related to Trump Followers in both studies. Extraversion is no longer significantly associated with Trump Followers in Study 2 (p = .198) with these controls.11

    These results are robust to two basic choices about the relevant sets of respondents for our concept: who we consider a strong Trump follower and how wide we cast the net for a sample of possible Trump loyalists. Figure 3 (left panels) shows our analysis for a different coding of the outcome variable. For each study, we categorize strong Trump support as a score greater than 0.9 on the Trump Index. This yields roughly equal proportions in each study (12% in Study 1 and 11% in Study 2; in the online supporting information (Figures S7 and S8, Table S8), we show multinomial logit results on the full sample using four categories: Strong Opposition, Moderate Opposition, Moderate Support, and Strong Support). Conscientiousness remains statistically significant in both studies and has the largest magnitude of the Big Five, although Extraversion is also significantly associated with this less stringent measure of strong Trump support in Study 2 (Tables S7a–S7b in the online supporting information).

    Details are in the caption following the image
    FIGURE 3
    Open in figure viewer
    PowerPoint
    Studies 1 and 2: Alternative dependent variable and GOP/primary respondents only. Marginal Effect plots for logistic regression models. The sample for the left panels is all respondents scoring above the mean on the Trump Index (Study 1: mean = 0.39, n = 475; Study 2: mean = 0.32, n = 1378). The sample for the right panels is all self-identified Republicans (Study 1, n = 264) or all Republican Primary voters (Study 2, n = 670), and the dependent variable is Trump Follower. Marginal effects are calculated for movement from the 5th to 95th percentile values for each variable (within the sample), while holding all other variables at their means.
    Analysis based on the sample of only Republican respondents (Study 1) and Republican Primary Voters (Study 2) is also shown in Figure 3 (right panels). Conscientiousness is the only personality dimension showing a significant association with Trump Followers, consistent with our results in Figure 2. In Table S16 in the online supporting information, we show similar patterns in Study 1 among self-identified “Trump Republicans,” those who strongly support Trump in 2024, and in Study 2 for Trump voters in 2016. However, among self-identified 2020 Trump voters in Study 1, Conscientiousness does not produce a significant coefficient associated with being a strong Trump Follower, although it remains positive and of the greatest magnitude among the Big Five (Marginal effect = 0.27, p = .22).

    We prefer to use the sample of U.S. adults above average on our Trump Index because, as an unconventional Republican leader, Trump appears to attract strong support from non-Republicans, and these “swing voters” can be an important factor in elections. For similar reasons, we believe results on the full sample are also relevant. These are also highly consistent with our main findings (see Table S7b in the online supporting information).

    When we examine a wide range of potential confounding factors including interaction terms for gender, race, and party identification, for RWA and SDO (Study 1), and for the corresponding three “Right” variables and Dominance (Study 2) (Figure S4 and Tables S5 and S6 in the online supporting information), this relationship between Conscientiousness and Trump Followers remains significant and of roughly stable magnitude in each study, increasing the chance of showing strong loyalty to Trump by about 10 to 15% in Study 1 and about 22 to 29% in Study 2, for a movement from the 5th to the 95th percentile values on the Conscientiousness index. In Study 1, this is somewhat lower than the impact of GOP identification or Conservatism. In Study 2, it is somewhat higher than the impact of GOP identification but substantially lower than that of Conservative ideology.

    In the online supporting information, we also show that our findings are robust to inclusion of variables for White identity (e.g., Grimmer et al., 2023; Sides et al., 2018), populism-related controls for gender, income, education, and their interaction in Study 1 and a Populist Voter variable in Study 2 (Spruyt et al., 2016), an alternative Left–Right ideology variable, using a Generalized Structural Equation Modeling (GSEM), and using multiple imputation for missing data on the full sample in Study 2 (p = .082 for Conscientiousness) (Figures S9–S16 and Tables S9–S14 in the online supporting information).

    Facets of conscientiousness
    In this section, we contrast how the Self-Discipline and Order facets of Conscientiousness are associated with Trump Followers and Conservatism and further examine the nature of the relationship between the facets and Trump Followers. Using Study 1, we code a binary variable for Conservatism to allow comparison across logit models, taking values of 1 if a respondent is in the top 10% on the Conservatism scale, otherwise 0.12 We do not use Study 2 for this analysis because the TIPI has only one survey item corresponding to each facet and is not recommended for such use (Gosling et al., 2003, pp. 523–24).

    Self-Discipline is significantly related to Trump Followers, while Order is associated with Conservatism (Figure 4, Table S15a in the online supporting information), consistent with Xu et al. (2021). Altruism is positively and significantly associated with Conservatism, while Openness to Ideas is negatively associated and significant. Contrary to our conjecture regarding Neuroticism, counter-vailing tendencies of its facets do not emerge in association with strong Trump Followers. Across the Big Five, Self-Discipline is significantly associated with Trump Followers at p < .05, as is Active (Extraversion). Assertive (Extraversion) (p = .07) and Aesthetics (Openness) (p = .09) also approach standard significance. We show this model without a control for Conservatism to provide a direct comparison to the model using Conservative as a dependent variable. However, when the control for Conservatism is reintroduced, only Self-Discipline remains statistically significant (see Table S15a). These results indicate substantive differences, increasing our confidence that our results regarding Conscientiousness and Trump Followers are not an artifact of Conservatives' support for Trump.

    Details are in the caption following the image
    FIGURE 4
    Open in figure viewer
    PowerPoint
    Trump followers, conservatism, and facets of the Big Five. Marginal Effect plots for logistic regression models. The sample is all respondents scoring above the mean value on the Trump Index (Study 1: mean = 0.39, n = 475). Marginal effects are calculated for movement from the 5th to 95th percentile values for each variable (within the sample), while holding all other variables at their means.
    When we assess the two-way interactions of several facets based on our theoretical discussion, few clear conditional relationships emerge with Trump Followers. For example, we find no statistically significant interaction effects between Anxiety (Neuroticism) and Compliance (Agreeableness), nor between Assertiveness (Agreeableness) and Compliance. We do find some evidence of an interaction between Self-Discipline and Compliance, at the highest values of Self-Discipline.13

    The distribution of Conscientiousness, Order, and Self-Discipline scores for Trump loyalists and other groups of respondents further illustrates the distinctiveness of Trump loyalists. Specifically, Figure 5 presents kernel density plots for All respondents, those Above the Mean on the Trump Index, Conservatives, GOP identifiers, and non-GOP identifiers (Democrats or Independents) using Study 1. In all instances, Trump Loyalists show substantially greater density for high values of Conscientiousness and Self-Discipline than others in each category. The differences are least pronounced, but still apparent, when the comparison is among Conservatives. The pattern is less pronounced for the Order facet.

    Details are in the caption following the image
    FIGURE 5
    Open in figure viewer
    PowerPoint
    Kernel density plots (Study 1): Trump followers compared with all other respondents in each group (All Respondents, Above the Mean on the Trump Index, Conservatives, Republicans, and Non-Republicans).
    We can analyze the facets of Conscientiousness further to provide greater precision in the evidence supporting the association between Self-Discipline and cult-like followership. Specifically, only Self-Discipline is associated with all three alternative multi-item measures (described in Section 9 of the online supporting information) of strongest belief in Trump's Leadership, Trump's Status, and belief that Trump won the 2020 election (Figure 6). On the other hand, Self-Discipline is not associated with strongest Job Approval for Trump while president. We interpret this as consistent with the concept of a personality cult in that the leader is in a position of elevation and resilience. Resilience means followership does not depend on specific accomplishments (Job Approval), while elevation is reflected in exceptionally high belief in Status and Leadership. A religious element might be seen in belief in the 2020 Election Win, reflecting faith in Trump as both truthful and infallible.

    Details are in the caption following the image
    FIGURE 6
    Open in figure viewer
    PowerPoint
    Aspects of Trump followers and facets of the Big Five (Study 1). The sample is those scoring Above Average on the Trump Index (mean = 0.39, n = 475). Each dependent variable is an index as described in Section 9 of the online supporting information.
    CONCLUDING DISCUSSION
    The American Psychological Association (2022) defines the phenomenon of a personality cult as “exaggerated devotion to a charismatic political, religious, or other leader, often fomented by authoritarian figures or regimes as a means of maintaining their power.” This reflects the concept's historical association with authoritarian regimes using state-controlled media and education for mythmaking around a leader, while stifling criticism (Plamper, 2012: p. xvii). It is therefore surprising to see it frequently used about supporters of a recent U.S. president (Figure 1).

    There has been little analysis of whether certain types of voters in democracies might be inclined to such extreme loyalty to a political leader. Research in political science has been limited to a focus on elite motivations for, and political uses of, political personality cults (Crabtree et al., 2020; Gill, 1984). Most major works on the topic have been produced by historians, focusing on specific cases and leaders (Kershaw, 1987; Plamper, 2012). To the best of our knowledge, no study to date focuses on the characteristics of individual citizens associated with political personality cults. The topic is important in any context to better understand the nature, extent, and limits of mass engagement, and especially important in democracies, where citizens are free to choose whether to “buy into” or reject the cult. Other democratic leaders, including India's Narendra Modi, have also recently been described as leading political personality cults (e.g., Guha, 2022).

    Our analysis suggests some U.S. voters show an extreme, cult-like loyalty to Trump rather than to a party or policies. Why might citizens in a democratic system show such unquestioning loyalty to an individual leader?

    During the 2016 election, Ekins (2017) found that among Trump voters, 31% were “staunch conservatives,” 25% “free marketeers,” 20% “American preservationist,” 19% “antielite,” and 5% “disengaged.” However, we contend that, for the most loyal supporters, Trump's appeal is based more on psychological needs met by his leadership style than on policy preferences or ideology. During the 2016 Republican convention, Trump famously claimed “I am your voice” and “I alone can fix it.” Such claims indicate the sort of leader–follower relationship typical of personality cults.

    Sundahl's (2023) qualitative description of Trump's self-presentation and imagery conforms to her categories of elevation, resilience, and religious parallels. To assess whether such idealizing and loyalty to a leader might be connected to personality, we proposed five conjectures, expecting a positive association between two of the Big Five (Conscientiousness and Neuroticism) and the strongest levels of Trump support, a negative association for two (Agreeableness and Openness), and no association for one (Extraversion). Of these, only our expectations regarding Conscientiousness and Extraversion found empirical support. Thus, we do not claim to have fully confirmed our personality-based theory of extreme political followership. But the article provides a solid foundation for future theorizing and empirical work in a new but potentially crucial area of research, and we encourage further tests in new data and for different cases.

    We provide robust evidence that Conscientiousness in particular distinguishes Trump's most loyal followers from broader groups of his supporters, including those with an overall above-average inclination toward him, other Republicans, and Conservatives. We also provide evidence that the cult-like aspects of Trump's Leadership are core elements perceived by followers sharing the characteristics of a Conscientious personality, and the Self-Discipline facet specifically. These relate most directly to elevation and resilience.

    Trump's call for loyalty and claim that he “alone can fix it,” we argue, appeal to a desire for discipline by giving a cause individuals can (and must) fully commit to. Trump demands commitment well beyond that implied by typical politicians in democratic systems. He denigrates not only ideological and electoral opponents but also those who might share power or authority within his ideological and political cohort. He is a jealous political leader and does not brook divided or shared loyalty. Citizens who sense this and are inclined to high levels of Self-Discipline, we argue, find the allure of Trump's leadership appealing because it meets a basic need making them susceptible to personalistic, loyalty-demanding leaders.

    While our survey did not directly probe the religious-parallels aspect of extreme followership (Sundahl's study was published after we fielded the survey), we identify elements of infallibility, such as belief in Trump's so-called “big lie” of the stolen 2020 election. This aspect of extreme followership in politics should be explored in future research, but it seems plausible that Trump's most loyal supporters perceive his leadership with religious parallels. For example, Onishi (2021) writes that “MAGAism [Make-America-Great-Again-ism] is buttressed by religious narratives and imagery, and its gospel is spread through houses of worship every Sunday. For some evangelicals, Mr. Trump is a divinely ordained savior uniquely ordained to save the nation from ruin.” Sundahl (2023, pp. 448–49) notes prominent figures in Trump's circle reference him in religious terms, including a Cabinet Secretary (“the chosen one”), a former campaign manager (“only God could deliver such a savior to our nation”), and a former Congresswoman (“a … godly, biblical president”).

    To help understand U.S. politics from 2016 onwards, and particularly the unusual and disruptive role of Donald Trump, we point to Trump's self-presentation as a savior. In 2023, after declaring his presidential candidacy, he said: “In 2016, I declared, ‘I am your voice…’. Today, I add: I am your warrior. I am your justice. And for those who have been wronged and betrayed, I am your retribution” (Haberman & Goldmacher, 2023). Our results suggest that Trump's attraction extends beyond policy and the politics of Conservatism or Populism. While the results across our five conjectures were mixed, the robust findings across two studies for Conscientiousness, and for the Self-Discipline facet in Study 1, are not easily dismissed and worth further investigation. We contend that, for his most committed followers, the attraction is personality-based — both in terms of Trump's self-presentation to citizens and in terms of the personality characteristics making some citizens attracted to such leadership. Trump's appeal appears to fit Sundahl's (2023) three characteristics of a personality cult. The phenomenon of a political personality cult may have arrived in full force in U.S. democracy — and could potentially be its undoing.

    1. Let me fix this bizarre, intensely-one-sided, self-serving, and extreme-diatribe [as evidence of the unhinged, personality cults of the left, in self-fulfillment; as they speak, so they reveal themselves:

      We contend that [Biden, made a hero despite dementia, and Harris, made a hero despite word-salad-emptiness, and even Don Lemon, made a hero despite being removed from mainstream media for biased inanity] for their most committed followers, the attraction is personality-based — both in terms of their self-presentation to citizens and in terms of the personality characteristics making some citizens attracted to such leadership….

      THEIR appeal appears to fit Sundahl’s (2023) three characteristics of a personality cult.

    2. No MAGA is not a cult.

      No amount of psychobabble that accomplishes nothing except increasing distrust of left wing nut academia will change the fact that Cults are not made of near majorities of people.

      Nor does it change that Cults require near perfect unity on everything not just the political
      Cults tend to be the same race, the same religion – usually their own fringe religion.

      BTW conservatives are more agreeable than liberals.

  3. If I were most of the readers today I would go to the website of the NIRS and look at who founded it (in 2007), who they are (basically a nonpartisan NGO) with special emphasis on Defined Benefit Plans. So I would interpret this as an organization that is not necessarily in favor of defined contribution plans such as 401K’s.
    I do remember that a common tactic of taking over businesses in the past was to buy them, pay off the defined benefits owed to employees in the pension plan, and keep the rest of the money for the company that did they buying. You really can’t do that with a 401K. It was one of the reasons we abandoned the defined benefit pension plan and went to a 401 K in the 1980’s. It was a top heavy plan so the employees got 2 dollars from the company for every dollar they contributed and was a strong selling point to keep employees involved and our employees loved it.
    When we were acquired years later we were able to keep our 401 K separate from the larger group that acquired us until they brought there 401 K up to snuff with better funding given to the lower paid employees and expanded offerings of choices to invest in.
    The employees of the company that acquired us gave us KUDOS for improving their retirement.
    401K plans are not a panacea but when managed right and are fair for both higher and lower paid employees it can be a tremendous asset to your company and you also have happy employees.

  4. Thank you trump, thank you JT for making America weaker than we have been in 20+ years.

    “Despite all the hype, China is on track to register its lowest share of U.S. soybean exports since 2002.”

    Wait, weren’t tariffs supposed to make us great? What a farce.

    1. “Thank you trump, thank you JT for making America weaker than we have been in 20+ years.”
      How so ?

      “Despite all the hype, China is on track to register its lowest share of U.S. soybean exports since 2002.”
      Soybeen futures are up for the year.
      US Soy priced are double that of 2002

      “Wait, weren’t tariffs supposed to make us great? What a farce.”
      Tarriff revenue is 384B/yr, US real inflation was 2.1% lower than at anytime under Biden.

  5. One factor, often ignored, is the deprivation of generational financial support related to one-parent families. Children and grandchildren from broken homes, and especially those raised by single moms, are far more likely to confront adulthood without the support so often needed to negotiate our economy. Lacking a parent or grandparent possessing the financial and tactical assets necessary to help them over hurdles both obvious (immature spending) and unforeseeable (illness, spiking inflation, job loss, etc.) can seriously impair the economic survival/standing/future of even the most responsible young adult.

    1. Old school fool,

      China’s national savings rate is significantly higher than the U.S., with gross savings at approximately 44-45% of GDP in 2023–2024, compared to roughly 17-18% in the U.S.. Chinese households save a much higher percentage of their income—often over 30%—driven by cultural factors, limited social safety nets, and precautionary savings, while U.S. consumers prioritize higher spending.

      1. “China’s national savings rate is significantly higher than the U.S., with gross savings at approximately 44-45% of GDP in 2023–2024, compared to roughly 17-18% in the U.S.. Chinese households save a much higher percentage of their income—often over 30%—driven by cultural factors, limited social safety nets, and precautionary savings, while U.S. consumers prioritize higher spending.”

        all data on China is always suspect – but the Chinese likely do save more than americans.
        They also have far less private investment. Most chinese have few places to spend, and few choices for savings – this has resulted in a 16T housing bubble of housing units that will never be completed and wont have anyone to fill them if they do.

        We know China is lying about its population. About its growth, about its GDP, about its Debt,
        But we do not know how big those lies are.
        One demographer beleives there are only 600M people in China – that is 1B missing people – that is problem wrong.
        But china’s population could easily be hundreds of millions less than claimed.
        Its GDP could easily be half of what is claimed.
        China is in deflation right now – mild deflation is good, but steep deflation is really bad,
        It is also likley that China is actually in recession – or near recession right now.

        There was an attempted Coup against Xi by a loyal follower a week ago.
        That does not happen in stable regime.
        As a result the top 4000 members of the PLA have been purged.

        It appears Xi has held his grip on power.
        But the problems that resulted in the attempted coup remain

        The chinese people are a great people and they will be a welcome addition to the world when they get rid of the Fascist CCP.

  6. Immigration and Customs Enforcement Director Todd Lyons said Friday that his agency opened a joint probe with the Justice Department after video evidence revealed that “sworn testimony provided by two separate officers appears to have included untruthful statements” about the shooting of a Venezuelan man during the Trump administration’s immigration crackdown across the Minneapolis-St. Paul area.
    “Lying under oath is a serious federal offense,” said Lyons, adding that the U.S. attorney’s office is actively investigating.
    U.S. District Court Judge Paul A. Magnuson dismissed felony assault charges against Alfredo Alejandro Aljorna and Julio Cesar Sosa-Celis, who were accused of beating an ICE officer with a broom handle and a snow shovel during a Jan. 14 fracas. The officer fired a single shot from his handgun, striking Sosa-Celis in his right thigh.

    The cases were dropped after a highly unusual motion to dismiss from U.S. Attorney for the District of Minnesota Daniel N. Rosen, who said “newly discovered evidence” was “materially inconsistent with the allegations” made against the two men in a criminal complaint and at a hearing last month.

    Court filings show state authorities have opened their own criminal investigation into the shooting, though the FBI has refused to share evidence, provide the name of the ICE officer or make him available for an interview.

    So in other words, two ICE agents lied about an interaction with two individuals, and may be guilty of attempted murder. And the FBI is refusing to cooperate with the state investigation of this attempted murder.

    I look forward to Turley’s comprehensive analysis of this criminal activity by ICE agents.
    But I am not holding my breath.

      1. No. In this case DOJ absolutely is not getting it right.

        In this case ICE agents made false statements that they were attacked by two men and were forced to shoot one of them in self defense.
        We now know that they lied about this incident and that the two men did NOT attack them.

        This raises the possibility of charges against the ICE agent for assault with a deadly weapon, or even attempted murder. These are state charges that must be investigated and prosecuted by the State of Minnesota, NOT the Federal government.
        The State of Minnesota has opened an investigation, but the FBI is refusing to cooperate. They refuse to share evidence and even refuse to provide the identity of the shooter.

        This is gross misconduct by the FBI and DOJ and appears to be taking the form of a coverup to protect the shooter, and to avoid revealing the poor training of ICE agents.

        1. “No. In this case DOJ absolutely is not getting it right.”
          How not ?They dropped charges and are now investigating and probably prosecuting the agents.

          “We now know that they lied about this incident”
          But we do not know about what.

          “that the two men did NOT attack them.”
          Probably as DOJ dropped the charges.

          “This raises the possibility of charges against the ICE agent”
          Absolutely starting with 18 USC 1001

          “for assault with a deadly weapon, or even attempted murder.”
          Possibly.

          “These are state charges that must be investigated and prosecuted by the State of Minnesota, NOT the Federal government.”
          Nope – that ship sailed long long long ago.
          No state is ever going to investigate the conduct of a federal officer in the coure of their duties.
          Nor should they.

          We do not need more george Floyd kangaroo courts.

          “The State of Minnesota has opened an investigation, but the FBI is refusing to cooperate. ”
          Yup – The State of MN has no jursidiction over federal law enforcment

          “They refuse to share evidence and even refuse to provide the identity of the shooter.”
          Yup, that is what happens when you try to stick your now where it does not beleing.

          “This is gross misconduct by the FBI and DOJ and appears to be taking the form of a coverup to protect the shooter, and to avoid revealing the poor training of ICE agents.”
          Maybe, maybe not.

          All we know is that video does not match the officers testimony, and DOJ dropped the charges and is now incestigating the officers.
          EVerything else you have said is uninformed speculation.

          What we DO know is that DOJ is following the law.

      2. John Say, it’s evidence that DHS has been lying and continues to do so.

        This also speaks of their lawlessness.

        “Hundreds of judges around the country have ruled more than 4,400 times since October that President Donald Trump’s administration is detaining immigrants unlawfully, a Reuters review of court records found. ”

        Courts have ruled 4,400 times that ICE jailed people illegally. It hasn’t stopped

        1. You have absolutely no credibility in “judging” liars and “lawlessness” when you stood idly-by as the borders were thrown wide open against our laws and logic, when you stood silently-by, against ALL U.S. rules and regs for COVID “safety” and Immunization standards were violated.

          Your hundreds of “judges” are partisan hacks, spoiling for political supremacy through civil mayhem. They are nothing more than agitators!!!

    1. If you could hold your breath for 3 years you would be waiting in vain for JT to admit trump is a fiasco.
      If you think the DOJ will investigate? This will not happen.
      If Minnesota investigates I expect a similar result to the investigation of all the pedophiles trump is protecting and also any kind of investigation of how the DOJ has become a trump harassment bureau.

      I do hope we survive 10 more months, let alone 3 more years.

      1. Inflation down and dropping, gdp up and rising, wages up and rising,

        Iran, Russia and China on their back foot.

        We could have an end to 3 despotic regimes soon – Cuba, Venezeualla, Iran
        And the disempowerment of Russia and China.

        What is not to like ?

  7. Marco Rubio just delivered the most courageous, most inspiring, greatest North Atlantic speech in decades. The speech by JD Vance in 2025 was also great but Rubio’s was better. The Left will hate it but especially the likes of Barack and Michelle Obama with their grievances against America, a grievance industry that made them multimillionaires. The Obamas made Americans into subservient slaves while JD Vance and Marco Rubio remind Europe that our shared history is a glorious one.

    Americans need to reclaim their rightful place in the great history of America, get on board, and get to work, for themselves and for those whom they will leave behind to take their place. Bravo Marco for proposing solutions, instead of the despair of Democrats that have paralyzed Americans.

    Secretary of State Marco Rubio at the Munich Security Conference

    MUNICH, GERMANY

    FEBRUARY 14, 2026

    the United Nations still has tremendous potential to be a tool for good in the world. But we cannot ignore that today, on the most pressing matters before us, it has no answers and has played virtually no role. It could not solve the war in Gaza. Instead, it was American leadership that freed captives from barbarians and brought about a fragile truce. It had not solved the war in Ukraine. It took American leadership and partnership with many of the countries here today just to bring the two sides to the table in search of a still-elusive peace.

    It was powerless to constrain the nuclear program of radical Shia clerics in Tehran. That required 14 bombs dropped with precision from American B-2 bombers. And it was unable to address the threat to our security from a narcoterrorist dictator in Venezuela. Instead, it took American Special Forces to bring this fugitive to justice.

    In a perfect world, all of these problems and more would be solved by diplomats and strongly worded resolutions. But we do not live in a perfect world, and we cannot continue to allow those who blatantly and openly threaten our citizens and endanger our global stability to shield themselves behind abstractions of international law which they themselves routinely violate.

    This is the path that President Trump and the United States has embarked upon. It is the path we ask you here in Europe to join us on. It is a path we have walked together before and hope to walk together again. For five centuries, before the end of the Second World War, the West had been expanding – its missionaries, its pilgrims, its soldiers, its explorers pouring out from its shores to cross oceans, settle new continents, build vast empires extending out across the globe.

    But in 1945, for the first time since the age of Columbus, it was contracting. Europe was in ruins. Half of it lived behind an Iron Curtain and the rest looked like it would soon follow. The great Western empires had entered into terminal decline, accelerated by godless communist revolutions and by anti-colonial uprisings that would transform the world and drape the red hammer and sickle across vast swaths of the map in the years to come.

    Against that backdrop, then, as now, many came to believe that the West’s age of dominance had come to an end and that our future was destined to be a faint and feeble echo of our past. But together, our predecessors recognized that decline was a choice, and it was a choice they refused to make. This is what we did together once before, and this is what President Trump and the United States want to do again now, together with you.

    And this is why we do not want our allies to be weak, because that makes us weaker. We want allies who can defend themselves so that no adversary will ever be tempted to test our collective strength. This is why we do not want our allies to be shackled by guilt and shame. We want allies who are proud of their culture and of their heritage, who understand that we are heirs to the same great and noble civilization, and who, together with us, are willing and able to defend it.

    And this is why we do not want allies to rationalize the broken status quo rather than reckon with what is necessary to fix it, for we in America have no interest in being polite and orderly caretakers of the West’s managed decline. We do not seek to separate, but to revitalize an old friendship and renew the greatest civilization in human history. What we want is a reinvigorated alliance that recognizes that what has ailed our societies is not just a set of bad policies but a malaise of hopelessness and complacency. An alliance – the alliance that we want is one that is not paralyzed into inaction by fear – fear of climate change, fear of war, fear of technology. Instead, we want an alliance that boldly races into the future. And the only fear we have is the fear of the shame of not leaving our nations prouder, stronger, and wealthier for our children.

    An alliance ready to defend our people, to safeguard our interests, and to preserve the freedom of action that allows us to shape our own destiny – not one that exists to operate a global welfare state and atone for the purported sins of past generations. An alliance that does not allow its power to be outsourced, constrained, or subordinated to systems beyond its control; one that does not depend on others for the critical necessities of its national life; and one that does not maintain the polite pretense that our way of life is just one among many and that asks for permission before it acts. And above all, an alliance based on the recognition that we, the West, have inherited together – what we have inherited together is something that is unique and distinctive and irreplaceable, because this, after all, is the very foundation of the transatlantic bond.

    Acting together in this way, we will not just help recover a sane foreign policy. It will restore to us a clearer sense of ourselves. It will restore a place in the world, and in so doing, it will rebuke and deter the forces of civilizational erasure that today menace both America and Europe alike.

    So in a time of headlines heralding the end of the transatlantic era, let it be known and clear to all that this is neither our goal nor our wish – because for us Americans, our home may be in the Western Hemisphere, but we will always be a child of Europe. (Applause.)

    1. This post is brilliantly and directly on point.

      “New Study Finds American Workers Have Less Than A $1000 in Retirement Savings,” Professor Turley.

Leave a Reply to AnonymousCancel reply

Res ipsa loquitur – The thing itself speaks

Discover more from JONATHAN TURLEY

Subscribe now to keep reading and get access to the full archive.

Continue reading