By Mike Appleton, Weekend Contributor
“What you going to do when the rain comes?
Are you going to sail on the rising seas like Noah?
What you going to feed your little orphans
When there’s no more fish in the sea forever?”
–Brendan Perry, “The Devil and the Deep Blue Sea,” from Ark (Cooking Vinyl, 2010)
In April of this year the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) issued the first part of its Fifth Assessment Report on climate change. Among its conclusions is that “atmospheric concentrations of carbon dioxide, methane and nitrous oxide have increased to levels unprecedented in at least the last 800,000 years.” The report also states that it is “extremely likely that human influence has been the dominant cause of the observed warming since the mid-20th century.” In order to limit the increase in global temperature to two degrees Celsius, the panel estimates that it will be necessary to reduce greenhouse gas emissions 40 to 70 percent below 2010 levels by 2050 and to virtually nothing by the end of the century.
The political response was predictable. The House Science, Space and Technology Committee held a short hearing, promptly declaring that the science is not “settled” and accused Democrats of “trying to scare America.” Republican reaction to this week’s announcement of a climate agreement with China was even harsher, with Sen. Mitch McConnell complaining that “these carbon emission regulations are creating havoc in my state and other states across the country.”
Although there are serious scientists who dispute the IPCC findings, the cumulative scientific evidence that anthropogenic activities significantly impact climate change is overwhelming. So why are the IPCC’s findings so controversial? The answer is that the politics of climate science denial are largely shaped by two forces: the contrived skepticism of the energy industry and the religious skepticism of the evangelical right.
The opposition of the energy industry to efforts to reduce greenhouse gas emissions is economic rather than scientific. The value of energy companies is calculated with reference to available oil, gas and coal reserves. Meeting the temperature increase limits proposed by the IPCC will require that 60 to 80 percent of those reserves remain in the ground. These untapped reserves, known as “stranded assets,” are estimated to be worth as much as 28 trillion dollars on the books.
In order to preserve as many of those dollars as possible, the energy industry has utilized a two-pronged campaign to sway opinion. First, it has created a publishing sub-industry challenging climate science. Between 1972 and 2005, 141 English language books have been released attacking the “green scare” of climate science, of which 130 are the products of conservative think tanks, led by the Heritage Foundation. A recent study concluded that the goal of this publishing tsunami has been to “manufacture uncertainty” by denigrating the science, promoting anti-regulatory and anti-corporate liability attitudes and denouncing environmental protection concerns as inimical to economic growth.
Second, the industry has created its own anti-IPCC in the form of the Nongovernmental International Panel on Climate Change. The NIPCC, funded by the Heartland Institute, an energy industry creation, has issued its own reports contradicting the conclusions of the IPCC. However, it is widely regarded as an industry apologist. According to Kevin Trenberth of the National Center for Atmospheric Research, “The NIPCC has no standing whatsoever. It is not a reviewed document, it is not open for review at any point and it contains demonstrable garbage and falsehoods.”
These tactics, although questionable, are understandable if one is attempting to protect 28 trillion dollars of asset value. But they do not explain the denialism of the religious right. That requires a brief historical overview.
Most people associate religious fundamentalism with the infamous Scopes trial and the observation of H.L. Mencken that fundamentalists “are everywhere where learning is too heavy a burden for mortal minds to carry … .” But modern fundamentalism actually emerged in the late 19th century in response to several developments, including the influence of German theological rationalism known as “higher biblical criticism,” the social gospel movement among Protestant progressives and the growing acceptance of Darwin’s theories. Although Mr. Scopes was convicted of unlawfully teaching evolution, the trial itself created a popular caricature of fundamentalism in the person of William Jennings Bryan and his oft-quoted remark that “It is better to trust in the Rock of Ages, than to know the age of the rocks.”
Opposition to evolution served to harden fundamentalist distrust of science and secular education in general, later exacerbated by the legal battles over creationism, compulsory school prayer and the public display of religious symbols. Finally, the civil rights movement and the social forces for change unleashed in the ’60s and ’70s convinced prominent evangelicals such as Pat Robertson and Jerry Falwell that the traditional reluctance of religious conservatives to actively engage in politics had been a mistake and that the Republican Party was the ideal vehicle for a new religious militancy.
The Pew Forum reports that white evangelical Christians comprise 26 percent of the American electorate. In the recent mid-term elections, 78 percent of this demographic group supported Republican candidates, the highest level of support among all religious groups. Evangelical support for Republicans in the previous four election cycles ranged from 70 to 77 percent. Polling by the Barna Group in 2007 and 2008 found that only 27 percent of evangelicals believed that climate change is actually occurring. That number has increased slightly over the last several years, but a majority of evangelicals remain unmoved by the science.
Evangelical opposition to climate science takes several forms. There is of course the view of environmental science as a threat to economic prosperity and American sovereignty. For example, a textbook entitled “Economics: Work and Prosperity in Christian Perspective,” a 1999 publication in the fundamentalist A Beka curriculum, states “Global environmentalists have said and written enough to leave no doubt that their goal is to destroy the prosperous economies of the world’s richest nations.”
A second line of argument relies on dominion theology, which looks to Genesis to justify the notion that the earth and its resources are intended to be exploited. The Cornwall Alliance, an association of evangelicals led by Calvin Beisner, asserts that “secular environmentalism” is a “false religion” that “deifies nature in its untouched state as the ideal, contrary to God’s mandate to fill, subdue and rule the earth … .” Dr. Beisner, whose Ph.D. is in Scottish history, also regards DDT as “a cheap and safe insecticide.”
For premillennial dispensationalists, climate change is to be welcomed as a sign of the end-times. As Pastor Matthew Hagee explains, “The Bible says that whenever we approach the coming of the Lord Jesus Christ, that there would be strange weather patterns. … So we have a decision to make: do we believe what an environmentalist group says and choose to live in a world where we’re attempting to make everything as clean in the air as possible, or do we believe what the Bible says, that these things were going to happen and that rather than try to clean up all of the air and solve all of the problems of the world by eliminating factories we should start to tell people about Jesus Christ who is to return?”
Other fundamentalist Christian leaders tend to mimic the energy industry’s insistence that climate science is guess work run amok. Tony Perkins of the Family Research Council argues that climate change is “an environmental threat that is at best speculative.” David Barton of Wallbuilders calls climate science “highly speculative research on which scientists still have reached no clear consensus.” Dr. Richard Land, speaking for the Ethics and Religious Liberty Commission of the Southern Baptist Convention, adds that the IPCC recommendations are “ill-conceived calls for drastic action in response to poorly understood, hypothetical risks.”
The convergence of energy industry self-interest, fundamentalist theology and Republican policy is well-illustrated by the comments of Rep. Dick Armey during testimony on global warming legislation before Congress on July 30, 1999: “Let me say I take it as an article of faith if the lord God almighty made the heavens and the earth, and he made them to his satisfaction and it is quite pretentious of we little weaklings here on earth to think that, that we are going to destroy God’s creation.” His words echo those of Rep. John Shimkus (R. Ill.), who earlier that year denied the dangers of rising sea levels because God promised Noah that He would “never again” unleash a flood on all of humanity.
Fundamentalist climate science deniers now dominate important congressional committees, leaving little doubt that no meaningful legislation will be forthcoming in the next few years. Sen. James Inhofe, who has written a book describing climate change as a “hoax” and suggesting that temperature increases might actually be beneficial to agriculture, is expected to assume the chairmanship of the Senate Environment and Public Works Committee. Sen. Ted Cruz will likely chair the Subcommittee on Science and Space, which oversees NASA and the National Science Foundation.
All is not lost. There is a growing movement among religious groups that support efforts to deal constructively with climate change. Dr. Kathrine Hayhoe, an evangelical and the director of the Climate Science Center at Texas Tech University, has worked tirelessly to increase an understanding and acceptance of climate science by Christian conservatives. The Interfaith Power and Light organization now includes over 15,000 religious communities in 41 states. The U.S. Conference of Catholic Bishops is urging the adoption of new rules on carbon pollution from power plants. And Pope Francis is working on an encyclical devoted to ecology and the environment. But until sufficient support is garnered to counter the alliance of phony science skepticism, fundamentalist anti-intellectualism and political obstructionism, we are left with a public policy debate best defined in a recent op-ed by John Huntsman: “So obtuse has become the party’s dialogue on climate change that it’s now been reduced to believing or not believing, as if it were a religious mantra.” Indeed.
Sources: George M. Marsden, Fundamentalism and American Culture (2d ed., Oxford Univ. Press, 2006); Kevin Phillips, American Theocracy (Viking, 2006); Karl Keating, Catholicism and Fundamentalism (Ignatius Press, 1988); Paul Johnson, A History of Christianity (Simon & Schuster, 1976); Jack T. Goodyear, You Think It’s Hot Here?: The Theological Influences on Evangelical Leadership Concerning the Politics of Climate Change (doctoral dissertation, Baylor University); IPCC Fifth Assessment Report: Climate Change 2013 (April 13, 2014); Alex Lenferna, “Fossil Fuel Divestment Report for the Seattle City Employees’ Retirement System” (October, 2014); Peter J. Jacques, Riley E. Dunlap and Mark Freeman, “The organization of denial: Conservative think tanks and environmental skepticism,” 17 Environmental Politics 349-385 (June, 2008); Elizabeth Harball, “Do Religion and Climate Change Mix?,” Scientific American (Feb. 26, 2014); E. Calvin Beisner, “Today’s Global Warming Policy: It’s Unbiblical,” http://www.wnd.com (Aug. 7, 2009); Joe Romm, “Rep. Shimkus: ‘Man will not destroy this Earth!,’ ” ClimateProgress (April 30, 2009); Ed O’Keefe, David Nakamura and Steven Mufson, “GOP congressional leaders denounce U.S.-China deal on climate change,” Washington Post (Nov. 12, 2014); Valerie Richardson, “Experts tell House panel climate change science isn’t settled,” Washington Times (May 29, 2014); Shauna Teel, “Heartland Institute’s Smoke And Mirrors Attempt to Debunk Consensus Science,” Media Matters (April 8, 2014); Haley Sweetland Edwards, “4 Ways the Top Environment Senator Disagrees With Science,” Time (Nov. 5, 2014); Rebecca Leber, “Climate Denier Ted Cruz Is Poised to Become a Lead Senator on Science,” New Republic (Nov. 6, 2014); Gregg Zoroya, “Taking to the pulpit against climate change,” USA Today (July 15, 2014); Hagee Hotline (May 27, 2014); http://www.WeGetIt.org/press ; Pew Forum, “How the Faithful Voted: 2014 Preliminary Analysis,” Pew Research Religion & Public Life Project (Nov. 5, 2014); Pew Forum, “Religion in the 2010 Elections” (Aug., 2011); “Evangelicals Go ‘Green’ With Caution,” http://www.barna.org (Sept. 22, 2008); “Born Again Christians Remain Skeptical, Divided About Global Warming,” http://www.barna.org (Sept. 17, 2007); John M. Huntsman, Jr., “The G.O.P. Can’t Ignore Climate Change,” New York Times (May 6, 2014).
The views expressed in this posting are the author’s alone and not those of the blog, the host, or other weekend bloggers. As an open forum, weekend bloggers post independently without pre-approval or review. Content and any displays of art are solely their decision and responsibility.
Paul
There is more to the story.
First, the IPCC was created to support the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC). The UNFCCC stated objective is to “stabilize greenhouse gas concentrations in the atmosphere at a level that would prevent dangerous anthropogenic Interference with the climate system”. These organizations start with the premise that catastrophic anthropogenic global swarming is real: it is treated as an axiom, a statement accepted as true without proof.
Secondly, the IPCC is both a political organization and a scientific organization, and no report gets published without review and approval by the participating governments. When reading the IPCC reports it is noticeable that some sections were written by scientists and others written by non-scientists. As and example AR5 WGII Chapter 7 goes into depth discussing the uncertainty of cloud and vapor feedbacks; they could cause a cooling effect or a warming effect. However, the conclusion is that cloud and vapor feedback is “likely positive”. There are no statistics used to reach this conclusion. It is determined based on questionable circular reasoning such as, to paraphrase, there is no accepted reason not to believe it. It should also be noted that ch 7 left out available new satellite data on clouds and vapor. Why?
Richard
There we go again, blaming religion for the woes of the world! When all else fails blame religion, blame God, blame the Pope, and blame Billy Graham for goodness sake. And if its not religion to blame then blame a political party–mainly Republicans.
Mike Appleton wrote,” the IPCC stated ‘ “atmospheric concentrations of carbon dioxide, methane and nitrous oxide have increased to levels unprecedented in at least the last 800,000 years.” The report also states that it is “extremely likely that human influence has been the dominant cause of the observed warming since the mid-20th century.” Pray tell, who contributed all the CO during the other 799,800 years?
I’m not arguing that there is or isn’t climate change, because the earth definitely goes through climate change periodically. But let’s face it, our dearly beloved government leaders, and renowned scientist are milking this issue for all its worth. Most of those pushing climate warming are making giant glacier loads of money. Between speeches, writing books and articles, and asking for more money for research, theirs a lot of fat cats floating on their own islands in the ever warming pacific and Atlantic.
We really need to laugh at our foolish selves, for we blame everybody but ourselves, as we go about driving our vehicles, using our heating/AC conditioners, demanding our consumer needs.
One religious guy taught people to live simply and love more. His name was Jesus. To many of you ridiculing atheist he was a fool, but if he was a fool, maybe we should all try being foolish like him.
Herb – Congratulations on polishing your skill at copying and pasting Fox [Non-Fact] News talking points, with zero facts (not to mention a preponderance of the evidence…oops, I mentioned it…to back it up).
The largest collection of international climate scientists in the world have repeatedly published their findings–via their work on the U.N. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) AND the U.S. Global Change Research Program, showing and stating that global warming since the mid-20th century is a man-made phenomenon.
Now, tell us, exactly what “actual scientific evidence” have you “actually” “take[n] the time and trouble to peruse”?
Charlie – let’s say I was a carpenter and I measured your house and said, you have x number of sq ft. And you say, my goodness, when we bought the house they told us it was x-400 sq ft. However, there have been no additions to the house. So, what is the problem? My measuring tape is wrong.
That is what has happened with Michael Mann. He has fudged the figures, so have IPCC to get the results they want. However, although IPCC is a little more open about it, Mann hides his figures by saying they are ‘proprietary.’ And Michael Mann got his old employer to buy into the same BS. So, there we have it. We cannot see the measuring tape.
Michael Mann has also controlled the publishing field in his area and closed it off. Then make the clarion call that his detractors are not peer-reviewed (like peer-reviewed actually means something). It is playing in a rigged game.
If you can’t see that the whole thing is academic fraud, it is not my fault.
Sorry, to all, this is absolutely a worthwhile topic of debate and discussion, but this seems to be terribly one-sided. The actual scientific evidence – if one actually will take the time and trouble to peruse it, and not rely solely on the politically (and big business, especialy financial institution) – funded IPCC indicates that climate fluctuations are normal, that human activity has no provable or even discernable effect on this,, that warming would have a clear positive effect on human life, unlike cooling (which seems to be much more probable as an immediate and longer term trend), that we are currently in a demonstrable cooling trend, and that the US has reduced greenhouse gas emissions more than any other country on earth in the last 15 years even though that matters not a whit. Pollution is bad, yes, and we should focus on reducing it as much as possible. The US – unlike China, India, Brasil, Indonesia, Russia has done and continues to do that. We need to continue. And improve. But facts are stubborn. And most scientists who actually study climate will concur and have gone public in doing this, again if one will do the research. The Michael Manns of the world are poseurs and frauds who suck at the teat of big business and bigger government. They care not a whit for truth or global warming or cooling. Or for you.
Mitch McConnell, last month, asked about climate change: “I’m not a scientist.”
Mitch McConnell, today, asked about an oil pipeline Republicans want: It’s time to take “a serious look at the science.”
ChipS will spend 5 years in pun purgatory for the stalling pun. Just keeping w/ the religious theme.
Can we prevent climate change and its impacts? No.
Can we delay climate change and its impacts? Maybe.
But if all we can do is delay the impacts (e.g., from 3/5/7 generations from now until 5/7/9 generations from now), does it REALLY matter?
Aren’t we merely choosing which generation(s) will suffer the most horrific world we can imagine?
If climate science proves that we have passed the tipping point, then climate change and its impacts are inevitable.
Don’t get me wrong, I despise Republican ideology (aka, idiocy). Still, I won’t let my personal bias or political correctness prevent me from acknowledging that it is not unreasonable–and only arguably (but not definitively) selfish–to live one’s own life (i.e., this generation) to its fullest.
If the Republicans would take this stance, rather than science denial, I would respect their honesty.
https://twitter.com/KHayhoe/status/533391909390020608
Mr Bill:
Please comment on the hacked emails of your beloved “Globull Change Modler”.
Don’t post more BS charts based on data that NOAA just got caught changing all the way back to 1900.
http://youtu.be/PnNjqXoyy3I
Rosebud Sioux Tribe: House Vote in Favor of the Keystone XL an Act of War
http://earthfirstjournal.org/newswire/2014/11/14/rosebud-sioux-tribe-house-vote-in-favor-of-the-keystone-xl-an-act-of-war/?utm_content=buffer03da8&utm_medium=social&utm_source=twitter.com&utm_campaign=buffer
Max-1 – luckily for us, the Sioux have fewer weapons than then the Park Service.
https://twitter.com/billmckibben/status/533824216072589312
https://twitter.com/afreedma/status/533663512913276929
Here’s an experiment for those who want to test it themselves:
http://adrianvance.blogspot.com/2013/01/cap-trade-in-senate.html?q=bottle
@Paul:
Maybe they should look at all those faked numbers in the “master global warming predictor” exposed in England by that Russian hacker? You know the emails that clearly showed fudging all the model prediction numbers? It was the model that all of the other 95 failed global warming models were based on.
Its the same batch of emails that clearly show collusion between Fed Gov officials and Mr. Fudge Numbers to withhold data damaging to the global warming argument?
Yeah, that’s the same guy.
JRjr
Some scientists think we are in for Global Cooling, and make a pretty convincing argument: There are two really good 5 minute videos at the link. They also explain why the greenhouse gas stuff is being pushed sooo hard:
http://www.newsmax.com/newswidget/dark-winter-cold-global-cooling/2014/11/16/id/607672/
Squeeky Fromm
Girl Reporter
I guess this new snowfall record, “Largest Snowfall Amount in 24hrs” has nothing to do with the climate.
http://www.wunderground.com/blog/weatherhistorian/comment.html?entrynum=315
JRjr – technically, it has to do with weather. Although you can us unusual snowfall amounts to annoy your climate change friends. They don’t know the difference between weather and climate anyway. 🙂
I think a number of people believe that, if we screw up the planet, God will just step in and fix it all up.
True science is dead. It’s been dead for some time now. IPCC (InterGOVERNMENTAL Panel on Climate Change). The govt. would never lie to us, they are transparent, right?